Promoting
Fact-based
Governance

And Tracking America's Regression

Below is a small sample of early consequences of the current Trump administration - developed through Gemini Pro 3.1 in early 2026. When time and technology allow, this site will be upgraded to a comprehensive reference.


2025 - A Heavy Dose of Chaos



A "Tariff Tax" on Families

In 2025, the administration implemented broad tariffs under the premise that foreign nations would pay the bill. In practice, American importers absorbed the duties and passed the costs directly to consumers, creating what effectively functioned as a regressive sales tax on essentials like clothing, electronics, and toys.

  • Middle-income households saw significant discretionary purchasing power evaporate due to these tariff-driven price increases.

  • This policy shifted the fiscal burden away from the wealthy and onto working families, effectively nullifying recent wage gains in the labor market.

A Stalled Labor Market

Aggressive deportation efforts and restrictive visa policies triggered a severe "labor supply shock" across the economy. Rather than increasing opportunities for native-born workers, the sudden contraction of the workforce crippled key industries—including agriculture, construction, and hospitality—forcing businesses to reduce output and cancel expansion plans.

  • The economy underperformed against baseline trends, ending the year with job growth significantly below projections.

  • A constricted labor supply dragged down Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and ignited inflationary pressure as businesses struggled to find the personnel needed to meet demand.

A Flood of Disinformation

This administration has transformed public communication by using official channels to amplify disinformation, while routinely dismissing independent journalism, scientific consensus, and non-partisan analysis as biased or illegitimate. While this tactic was common enough during his first term, the current Trump administration has systematically institutionalized the use of official government channels to spread lies and target critics.

  • Externally, by characterizing traditional media and fact-checkers as "enemies" or "fake news," the Trump administration has deliberately polluted the media landscape. When a large portion of the electorate relies exclusively on administration-endorsed disinformation, establishing a shared, objective reality becomes nearly impossible.

  • Internally, by demanding political loyalty, the Trump administration has deliberately obstructed the collection and release of objective data. When experts fear retribution for sharing factual findings—whether on climate, the economy, or public health—the public is denied the unvarnished information necessary for democratic accountability.

Consequently, the burden of discovering and verifying the truth has rapidly shifted from established checks and balances to independent organizations, academic institutions, and individual citizens.

Welcome to the Age of Regression *

jeff@factbasedgov.org

* "Age of Regression" and similar terms are used across sociology, economics, and psychology to describe an era where societal progress visibly reverses. Think of it as the opposite of The Enlightenment; it's a time when society collectively shifts into reverse.

1. The Sociological & Political Lens

Sociologists and political scientists use this concept to describe the unraveling of democratic norms and global cooperation. Markers include:

  • Authoritarian Reversion: A structural shift away from democratic deliberation and institutional checks and balances toward "strongman" politics and nationalism.

  • A Post-Truth Era: The rejection of objective, scientific reasoning and civic discourse in favor of tribalism and emotional reactivity.

2. The Economic Lens

Economically, an age of regression occurs when centuries-long trends of upward mobility and improved living standards stall or slide backward. Markers include:

  • Wealth Inequality: A severe concentration of wealth at the top and the hollowing out of the middle class.

  • Public Divestment: When a society abandons forward-looking investments, leading to the deliberate decay of public infrastructure, healthcare, and education systems.

3. The Psychological Lens

In political psychology and psychoanalysis, "collective regression" describes how populations respond to acute stress, economic anxiety, or perceived threats to their identity. Under pressure, society reverts to primitive psychological defense mechanisms. Markers include:

  • "Us-vs-Them" (Splitting): Simplistic, binary thinking that relies on scapegoating marginalized out-groups to soothe collective anxieties.

  • Weaponized Nostalgia: A powerful yearning for a mythic "Golden Age," driving political movements based on retrieving an idealized (and often fictional) past, rather than adapting to the future.